Tuesday 4 February 2014

THE ODDS STILL FAVOURS MAN CITY TO WIN THE EPL

The Londoners became the first Premier League outfit to claim three points at the Etihad Stadium this season on Monday night but Manuel Pellegrini's side are still favourites
Monday night was an evening of firsts: the first time that Manchester City had been beaten at the Etihad Stadium in the Premier League this season and the first time the hosts failed to score at home since November 2010.

PREMIER LEAGUE TITLE BETTING
Odds from Paddy Power
Manchester City EVS
Chelsea 21/10
Arsenal 9/2
Liverpool 22/1
Manchester United 150/1
Despite that loss City are still Evens (2.0) to win the title, with victors Chelsea at 21/10 (3.10) to finish top of the pile at the end of the season.

Arsenal are the relative outsiders of the top three teams, despite the fact they are currently two points better off than both City and Chelsea at this point.

Paddy Power seem confident that Arsene Wenger's men are due to tail off this season and won't provide a realistic title challenge, pricing them at 9/2 (5.50) to maintain top spot.

Liverpool are already eight points off the pace and Brendan Rodgers' men are 22/1 (23.0) chances to overcome that deficit and win the title. After defeat to Stoke on Saturday, Manchester United are 150/1 (151.0) to retain their crown.

If there is an argument to be made against the favourites, Chelsea and Arsenal backers will point to the fact that City still have plenty of difficult away days to come.

Pellegrini's men are still to travel to Arsenal, Liverpool and Everton, some potentially daunting trips given their losses on the road earlier in the campaign.

Chelsea have only got two trips top-10 side left this season - Liverpool and Aston Villa - with the majority of their potentially pivotal games against rivals being played at Stamford Bridge.

Fulham are the only side currently odds on for relegation at 2/5 (1.40) with Crystal Palace (11/10), Cardiff (7/5) and Norwich (7/4) the other teams shortest in the battle to avoid dropping into the Championship.

JOSE MOURINHO THE GREAT MANIPULATOR

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Jose Mourinho

José Mourinho: the great manipulator faces his toughest test
The Chelsea manager aired new and old grievances as he tried to get under City's skin before their clash at the Etihad
José Mourinho's Chelsea will be hoping to stop Manchester City adding to their 115 goals this season on Monday night. Photograph: Tony O'Brien/Action Images
There is a chance that, by the close of play against Manchester City, José Mourinho may be reminded about the scathing words he reserved for West Ham's conservatism at Chelsea last week. His own tactics hardly bordered on the adventurous at Manchester United and Arsenal earlier in the season, and when it comes to parking the bus it could be said Mourinho slipped on the handbrake then threw the keys down the nearest drain when his Internazionale team ventured to Barcelona for the second leg of their 2010 Champions League semi-final.
The allegation of possible double standards was gently pointed out before his Chelsea team set off for Manchester and, naturally, there was a look of disdain attached to the response.
"I took Barcelona by winning 3-1," Mourinho said, recalling the first leg of that semi-final at San Siro. "But it should have been four or five. Inter played the best game of the last 50 years. We went to attack them. We knew we played the first game at home, and the second would be very difficult.
"We knew we had no chance if we didn't win at home. So we went with everything we had and we won 3-1. In the second game, when you start 3-1 up and stay there with 10 men [Thiago Motta was sent off after 27 minutes], you put the aeroplane in front of the goal." Inter flew away with a 3-2 aggregate win.
What can be said with absolute certainty is that City's default setting is to go for the opposition. A team with 72 goals from 18 home games cannot be expected to do anything else.
"We play with two strikers, and we have two wingers who are virtually strikers," Vincent Kompany explained in an interview with ESPN a few days ago. "One of our midfield players – and we have only two – is also virtually a striker. Our full-backs are pushing up all the time so, ultimately, out of a team of 11 players we have six or seven always involved in the attack."
City have scored 115 times this season and are near-certainties to beat the top-division record set by Manchester United in 1956-57 of 143 in all competitions. If they were to beat Chelsea and do the same to Norwich on Saturday – a side they have already put seven past this season – it would also mean United being closer in points to the relegation zone than top spot when they face Fulham on Sunday.
Yet it is not United who concern City. After the Chelsea game, the next six opponents for Manuel Pellegrini's team are Norwich (15th), Sunderland (14th), Stoke (11th), Aston Villa (10th), Hull (13th) and Fulham (20th). This is City's chance to establish a position of command before playing at Old Trafford and Arsenal in the space of five days at the end of March.
Mourinho has certainly been trying to get under City's skin. He is very clever in the way he does it, too, mostly because he has so much experience of it. Lots of compliments and almost startled innocence when he is asked why he fell out with Pellegrini in Spain, but enough throwaway lines here and there to manipulate the headlines and be noticed.
Everybody knew which team would immediately be implicated when he talked, without naming names, about clubs with a "dodgy" perception of the financial fair-play rules (clue: not Paris St-Germain this time) and there was a personal edge when he brought up, unsolicited, Pellegrini's error of not realising another goal against Bayern Munich would have meant City winning their Champions League group.
"The first thing to be successful in Europe is to know the rules of the competition, that's the first thing," the two-times Champions League winner helpfully volunteered.
On Pellegrini's part, there has been a look of weary, seen-it-all-before indifference. Some managers prefer to be self-contained, and City's is better described as vacuum-packed. "I never comment on anything Mourinho says," he says.
Mourinho, passing around flutes of champagne and clinking glasses at one recent press conference, is an entirely different beast. What stands out most of all is the sense of grievance he has towards City because of the acclaim they receive. More than once, he has taken exception to it and referred back to the hostilities that accompanied his title wins for Chelsea, in line with Roman Abramovich's rebuilding of the club.
"In my time we were accused of buying the title, no? Because our owner was Mr Abramovich, just arrived in the country. Maybe now people see City in a different way. I don't know. And I don't care. I don't envy the fact that they have this kind of protection, or whichever word it is."
He did follow that up by explaining that maybe super-rich owners were no longer a novelty, but it was all wrapped in the same accusation that Chelsea were taking FFP seriously – so why could others not?
Asked if Chelsea could compete with City, he said: "If they want to make it impossible, yes it's impossible. Because we are not competing outside of what is important for us: the fair FFP. We are working, thinking and believing that FFP is going to be in practice. So there are things that are impossible for us.
"Financially, no [we can't compete]. Back then [his first spell at the club] it was a free world. There was no FFP. If your club was a rich one, your owner a rich one, there were no rules. It was an open situation."
His evidence includes the declaration that Chelsea cannot take on City for the signing of Eliaquim Mangala, the 22-year-old France international centre-half who will be available from Porto in the summer. Jorge Mendes, Mourinho's own agent, is involved in finding Mangala a club, but the price tag is around £37m.
"We can't," Mourinho said. "We signed [Kurt] Zouma, who is even younger and a comparable figure. We have the central defender of the Brazil national team [David Luiz], the centre-half of the English national team [Gary Cahill], and the best central defender in the Premier League 2013-14 [John Terry]. So we're fine."
Rewind there. The best central defender in the Premier League? "I was not expecting it," Mourinho admitted. "Not after the season he had last year. I was not expecting it. I would like to see him playing this way until the end of the season." And the World Cup? "The World Cup is with him and Roy [Hodgson], not with me."
Mourinho was asked which players had impressed him the most for City. "The two midfield players have always played well, so [Yaya] Touré and Fernandinho. I think the third striker is very, very good. [Edin] Dzeko, every time he plays, plays very, very well. The wingers are good, the full-backs … they're complete, they have everything."
Someone asked whether opposition teams were scared of attacking City and he interrupted the question. "But I don't know if they don't [attack] or if they can't [attack]. Maybe they can't. I want to attack them. I can tell you that. But after 10 minutes, people might say I'm not attacking. If I don't, it's because I can't."
He continued: "I don't think a lot about them, to be fair. I'm not going to build my team because they are very good at this or that, or bad at this or that. In this moment, Chelsea are going in one direction. Are we going to play with one striker? Yes. We are not going to play without a striker. Are we going to play with three central defenders because they have two fantastic strikers? No. I want to play with two. I think more about us than them."
His team, though, are in a game of catch-up. "A bit more time. A little bit more players. Just a little bit." City, he readily admits, have to be considered favourites, both short- and long-term.